Tuesday, December 4, 2007

Fact Based Intelligence on Iran

Here is the pdf of the Intelligence Estimate on Iran and its nuclear weapons program. By now, we all know what the estimate says, but here are some excerpts from Ray McGovern's column on Common Dreams.

“We judge that in fall 2003, Tehran halted its nuclear weapons program…”

“We assess with moderate confidence Tehran has not restarted its nuclear weapons program as of mid-2007.”

“We do not have sufficient intelligence to judge confidently whether Tehran is willing to maintain the halt of its nuclear weapons program indefinitely…”

“We judge with moderate confidence Iran probably would be technically capable of producing enough highly enriched uranium sometime during the 2010-2015 time frame.”

“We judge with high confidence that Iran will not be technically capable of producing and reprocessing enough plutonium for a weapon before about 2015.”

What did Bush say about this?

"I view this report as a warning signal that they had the program, they halted the program," Bush said. "The reason why it's a warning signal is they could restart it."

If anyone ever trusts this administration to scare us into anything again, please see a psychiatrist - for the sake of our country.
Yet, another offense against our nation and not a consequence. Hopefully, this is the end of the Iran hyper scare because it does not seem possible that Cheney can argue that “fairly robust new nuclear program” in Iran, and President Bush’s inaccurate assertion that Iranian leaders have even admitted they are developing nuclear weapons.

How long until November, 2008?

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