The Patomac primaries go big for Obama. Virginia right now is at about 63% - 36% in Virginia. As I write Obama is speaking and is now 8-0 since Super Tuesday. And is projected to win in Hawaii and Wisconsin in a week:A new Public Policy Polling survey in Wisconsin shows Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. Hillary Clinton, 50% to 39%. His support cuts across all racial and gender lines.Key findings: "Obama actually barely leads Clinton among self identified Democrats, 46% to 44%. But there are a lot of independent voters in Wisconsin, who can vote in the state's open primary, and Obama's lead with that group is 63% to 25%."In the GOP race, Sen. John McCain leads Mike Huckabee, 53% to 32%.Wisconsin's primaries will be held on February 19. Is the Clinton campaign relenting on Wisconsin too? It seems a mini Rudy strategy.
However, will Ohio and Texas be the "firewall" Mrs. Clinton is looking for. Right now, though it is slipping, her lead in Ohio is substantial. It is double digit right now. Then, on to Pennsylvania and North Carolina. My question is will this lead shrink and Obama will move Ohio and Texas into race or will she trounce him there, thus creating a deadlock that will not be broken until Denver? I DON'T KNOW.
3 comments:
I have great faith that my home state of Texas will get it right...maybe.
CNN keeps saying that even if Barack Obama sweeps all the remaining primaries by a 55-45 margin, he won't have enough to win outright and it will go to the superdelegates. (It's the same scenario if Hillary wins out by a 55-45 margin)
The superdelegates will only be an issue if it is very, very close. If Barack is up by more than say 100 "pledged" delegates, then it probably won't be an issue and the superdelegates will begin switching to Obama.
Of course, throw in MI and FL and you have a whole new set of problems...
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